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2019/2020 Bayern Surveys+Results Thread

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2019/2020 Bayern Surveys+Results Thread

Postby aterford » Sat Oct 05, 2019 11:26 pm

Hi again all,

A bit late with making the thread this year (I could've sworn I did already, but I guess not...), but as last year, wanted to have a centralized place to keep surveys and results so as to not spam other threads (well, not too much, anyways :wink: )

Unfortunately your boy has been sick as a dog for the past couple of weeks so I must admit that this first roundup of results is fairly barebones with minimal commentary or presentation. Still, you may find it interesting, so without much more fanfare, here's the results of the past few rounds of surveys.

If you are unfamiliar with the scoring legend, check out this link to get an idea for how the scoring breaks down (and of course fill out this week's latest survey if you haven't!), but basically for players/managers it's a scale of 1-10, 1 being worst and 10 being man of the match.

Okay, anyways. First up is BL Matchday 1, 2:2 vs Hertha Berlin.

Kovac: 4.0

Lewy: 8.6
Gnabry: 8.0
Pavard: 6.7
Thiago: 6.4
Alaba: 6.3
Kimmich: 6.2
Neuer: 6.2
Coman: 6.0
Muller: 5.9
Tolisso: 5.7
Sule: 5.6

Overall: 5.1

How confident are you feeling entering this season (1=least confident, 10=most confident)?
Average response: 4.9/10

Your overall confidence in Niko Kovac: 71% decreasing, 29% no change, 0% increasing

Your thoughts on the (at the time) rumored loan deal w/ buy-option for Coutinho?
65% said good deal
35% said bad deal

We’ve added Pavard, Arp, Hernandez, and Perisic on loan this summer. Assuming Coutinho’s loan deal does go through, do you expect any more activity from Bayern on the summer transfer market?
77% - yes, we’ll sign more players
18% - no, we won’t sign more players
5% yes, more players, but only on loans.

If the transfer window ended today, what grade would you give Bayern’s Summer 2019 transfer window?
A - 0%
B - 21%
C - 46%
D - 24%
F - 9%

How do you think the Leroy Sane saga will play out?
33% - We’ll sign Sane in Winter 2019
27% - We’ll sign Sane in Summer 2019
18% - Sane will end up extending with City
12% - We’ll sign Sane in Summer 2020
6% - Sane will agree to a deal with another club before Bayern is able to sign him
2% - We’ll sign Sane on a free in Summer 2021

Do you still think Bayern have a chance at signing Hudson-Odoi?
38% - CHO will sign an extension with Chelsea in the summer window
36% - CHO will sign an extension with Chelsea in Winter 19
22% - Chelsea/Bayern/CHO will reach an agreement in Winter 2019 for Bayern to sign him on a free in Summer 2020
4% - Chelsea and Bayern will agree to a deal for Bayern to purchase CHO prior to the expiry of his contract

In your opinion, what is Bayern’s most pressing need at the moment?
35% - Left Winger
29% - CDM / #6
17% - Right Winger
9% - CM / #8
6% - CAM / #10
3% - Goalkeeper
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Re: 2019/2020 Bayern Surveys+Results Thread

Postby aterford » Sat Oct 05, 2019 11:29 pm

Second we have BL Matchday 2, 3:0 vs Schalke.

Kovac - 4.4

Lewy - 9.8
Lucas - 7.5
Coman - 7.3
Sule - 7.2
Neuer - 7.2
Pavard - 6.8
Alaba - 6.6
Coutinho - 6.3
Gnabry - 5.9
Kimmich - 5.9
Perisic - 5.6
Tolisso - 5.3
Muller - 5.0

Overall performance: 5.5

Overall confidence/how you’re feeling: 5.1 (1=least confident, 10=most confident)

Confidence in Manager:
54% decreasing
36% no change
10% increasing

We’ve added Pavard, Hernandez, Arp, Perisic, and Coutinho. Do you expect any more transfer activity?
68% no
31% yes

Thoughts on the potential signing of Marc Roca?
35% - We should not sign Roca, he does not fit the right profile and/or fill our need(s)
31% - We should sign Roca, even if it requires paying the full 40m buyout clause.
27% - We should sign Roca, but only if we can get a discount from the full buyout.
7% - We shouldn’t sign Roca - he’s a good fit, but too expensive.

What kind of DM do you believe we need?
48% - a “controller” DM
48% - a “ball-winning” or “destroyer” DM
4% - a “playmaking” DM

If the transfer window ended today, what grade would you give Bayern’s transfer window?
A - 4%
B - 41%
C - 43%
D - 7%
F - 4%

What is Bayern’s most pressing need at the moment?
46% - CDM / #6
19% - Right Winger
13% - Left winger
12% - CM / #8
10% - CF / Striker
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Re: 2019/2020 Bayern Surveys+Results Thread

Postby aterford » Sat Oct 05, 2019 11:31 pm

Next we have BL Matchday 3. Bayern vs Mainz - 6:1.
Pretty brief one this week, my apologies.

Kovac - 6.3

Lucas - 8.0
Muller - 7.6
Lewy - 7.5
Alaba - 7.2
Perisic - 6.8
Davies - 6.8
Coman - 6.6
Pavard - 6.6
Thiago - 6.5
Neuer - 6.5
Sule - 6.3
Kimmich - 5.8
Coutinho - 5.7

Overall performance: 7.3

Overall confidence/how you’re feeling: 6.3

Confidence in Kovac:
38% increasing
32% decreasing
30% no change
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Re: 2019/2020 Bayern Surveys+Results Thread

Postby aterford » Sat Oct 05, 2019 11:32 pm

Another pretty brief one for BL Matchday 4, 1:1 vs Leipzig, again, apologies :/

Kovac - 5.4

Neuer - 9.4
Lewy - 8.0
Muller - 7.6
Pavard - 6.8
Coman - 6.7
Sule - 6.7
Kimmich - 5.8
Boateng - 5.7
Thiago - 5.5
Lucas - 5.3
Gnabry - 4.8

Overall - 6.5

Current worry/panic level: 4.8

Confidence in Kovac:
58% decreasing
31% no change
11% increasing

Overall mood regarding the team:
51% no change
39% declining/less confident
10% improving/more confident
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Re: 2019/2020 Bayern Surveys+Results Thread

Postby aterford » Sat Oct 05, 2019 11:34 pm

And now we have our first UCL match - 3:0 vs Red Star Belgrade.

Kovac - 7.4

Thiago - 8.4
Coman - 8.3
Pavard - 7.8
Lucas - 7.5
Coutinho - 7.3
Lewy - 7.1
Perisic - 7.1
Sule - 7.1
Tolisso - 7.0
Kimmich - 7.0
Neuer - 6.9

Overall performance: 7.3

Worry/panic level: 3.4

Confidence in Kovac:
50% no change
46% increasing/more confident
4% decreasing/less confident

Overall mood regarding the team
50% no change
43% improving/more confident
7% declining/less confident

FiveThirtyEight ranks Bayern as second-favorites to win the UCL, behind only City (18% vs 23%, respectively - at the time of polling). Too high, too low, just right?
61% - too high
30% - accurate/just right
9% - too low

Do you prefer Kimmich at RB or in midfield?
93% - RB
5% - Midfield, but we need him at RB
2% - Midfield

With Alaba hurt and Lucas presumably filling in at LB, who’s your preferred CB pairing?
82% - Sule-Pavard
9% - Boateng-Sule
7% - Pavard-Boateng
2% - Other
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Re: 2019/2020 Bayern Surveys+Results Thread

Postby aterford » Sat Oct 05, 2019 11:41 pm

And finally the 7:2 vs Spurs:

Kovac - 7.6

Gnabry - 9.9
Lewy - 9.1
Thiago - 8.8
Neuer - 8.7
Kimmich - 7.7
Pavard - 7.4
Sule - 7.3
Coutinho - 6.9
Tolisso - 6.9
Coman - 6.8
Boateng - 6.5
Alaba - 6.1

Overall - 8.9

Panic Level - 3.2

Confidence in Kovac:
58% improving
35% no change
7% decreasing

Overall mood regarding the team:
82% improving
15% no change
3% decreasing

538 continues to rank Bayern as second-favorites behind Manchester City to win the UCL. Too high, too low, just right?
53% too high
41% accurate
6% too low
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Re: 2019/2020 Bayern Surveys+Results Thread

Postby #12 » Sun Oct 06, 2019 12:53 am

Not sure it’s good to post this here - as far as keeping the thread clean goes...

Maybe the mods can delete it later on...

A few ideas: I know it’s tough and a lot if wirk, but it would be great if survey results were available faster... though... In between games is probably a dream right?

Also I think it'd be interesting to not just ask about the change in confidence in Kovac but the actual level of confidence in him/rating... and the team... Plus expectations towards the next game / And overall season (trophies, rounds, etc...)
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Re: 2019/2020 Bayern Surveys+Results Thread

Postby Firefox1234 » Sun Oct 06, 2019 1:05 am

Great data collecting!
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Re: 2019/2020 Bayern Surveys+Results Thread

Postby aterford » Sun Oct 06, 2019 1:06 am

No worries at all mate. Generally I wait a couple of days before posting results not because I don't have time to compile them (although occasionally that is the case) but rather to just allow a bit more time for responses to come in, folks who didn't see the original posting(s), had to watch the game later, etc, but admittedly could stand to at least be a bit more expedient... ;)

I have been meaning to add a bit more "prediction" type questions too, so I'm glad you brought that up as well, definitely wanna start getting that worked in. Appreciate the feedback!!
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Re: 2019/2020 Bayern Surveys+Results Thread

Postby #12 » Sun Oct 06, 2019 4:27 pm

aterford wrote:No worries at all mate. Generally I wait a couple of days before posting results not because I don't have time to compile them (although occasionally that is the case) but rather to just allow a bit more time for responses to come in, folks who didn't see the original posting(s), had to watch the game later, etc, but admittedly could stand to at least be a bit more expedient... ;)

I have been meaning to add a bit more "prediction" type questions too, so I'm glad you brought that up as well, definitely wanna start getting that worked in. Appreciate the feedback!!


Maybe it’s also possible to have the link stickied in the opening post as well?
I figure that way it might get more exposure than being posted once or twice by you randomly among 576 other posts...
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Re: 2019/2020 Bayern Surveys+Results Thread

Postby Firefox1234 » Sun Oct 06, 2019 5:06 pm

Hey @MUTU I would if these survey and results could be linked with our match thread. You and @aterford would probably have to do a little coordinating but is it a viable option? Seems a bit wasteful to let all this data go to waste.
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Re: 2019/2020 Bayern Surveys+Results Thread

Postby aterford » Sun Oct 06, 2019 11:03 pm

Here are your results for Bayern 1:2 vs Hoffenheim, BL Matchday 7

Kovac's Manager Rating - 3.4

Muller - 7.2
Lewy - 7.0
Pavard - 5.4
Kimmich - 5.2
Neuer - 5.2
Thiago - 4.9
Gnabry - 4.9
Boateng - 4.9
Sule - 4.9
Coman - 4.8
Perisic - 4.7
Coutinho - 4.1
Tolisso - 3.7

Overall Team Performance - 3.3

Current Worry/Panic Level - 5.5 (lower is better)

Overall Confidence in Niko Kovac:
64% Decreasing
36% No change

Overall "mood" regarding the team:
60% Declining/less confident
40% No change

Bonus Question: Should Müller be playing more?
82% - He should be playing more
15% - He's currently playing as much as he should be
3% - He should be playing less

Bonus Question: Assume Bayern sign Sane in Summer 2020 and have the funds to make one more big move. They should....
61% - Sign Havertz
21% - Sign neither Havertz nor Coutinho - the money is better invested elsewhere
18% - Sign Coutinho

Of course we have the international break coming up. I know a time or two last season I used the breaks to put out some quick "season thus far" type of surveys, kind of to try and get a feel for the direction things are headed, your predictions for the rest of the season, surprises, stuff of that nature. Will probably be whipping that up here in a few days, so if you have any specific questions for that type of "non-match" survey you'd like to see included, feel free to drop them here in the thread and I will try and get those worked in at some point.
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Re: 2019/2020 Bayern Surveys+Results Thread

Postby #12 » Mon Oct 07, 2019 5:57 pm

"I genuinely believe this Bayern team is good enough to win CL without at least 4 to 5 teams having a complete meltdown/severe crisis"

"I see actual development":

1.) "by the team itself (i.e. Kovac is improving our game)"
2.) "regarding our transfers (i.e. we're getting stronger every window)"


" I think our squad is big enough to achieve all our goals (i.e. play for the treble)"

" I think our squad is good enough to achieve all our goals (i.e. play for the treble)"


"I believe Hoeness' influence will change once he's not head of the supervisory board anymore"





Maybe I can think of some more...
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Re: 2019/2020 Bayern Surveys+Results Thread

Postby aterford » Mon Oct 21, 2019 8:36 pm

Here are your results for Bayern vs Augsburg (MD8), 2:2

Ratings

Kovac: 2.35

Lewandowski: 7.57
Gnabry: 8.39
Coutinho: 3.51
Coman: 4.11
Javi: 5.73
Thiago: 5.35
Pavard: 4.03
Lucas: 4.24
Kimmich: 4.92
Neuer: 5.86

Sub - Alaba: 5.62

(Note that I did not include a rating for Sule, who exited after 12 minutes. I usually 'require' a minimum of 20 minutes played to give a grade.)

Overall team performance: 3.62

Worry/Panic Level: 7.3

Your overall confidence in Kovac is: 84% decreasing, 16% no change, 0% increasing
Your overall mood is: 83% declining, 14% no change, 3% improving

Bonus: Should Muller be playing more?
85% - Yes, he should be playing more
10% - No - he's playing just the right amount.
5% - No - and he's playing too much as is

Bonus: Assume the club signs Sane and has the ability to make one more big signing next summer. They should....
73% - Sign Havertz
14% - Sign Coutinho
13% - Sign neither and invest that money elsewhere.
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Re: 2019/2020 Bayern Surveys+Results Thread

Postby #12 » Tue Oct 22, 2019 5:21 am

86% against signing Coutinho, the player with the far warst rating... Just let that sink in for a moment about our new Iniesta...
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