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[2021-04-13] PSG vs Bayern Munich

Discussions on the UEFA Champions League matches.
 

What is your prediction for this match?

Poll ended at Tue Apr 13, 2021 8:00 pm

Paris Saint-Germain F.C. will go through to the semis after 90 minutes
9
39%
Paris Saint-Germain F.C. will go through to the semis after extra time
1
4%
Paris Saint-Germain F.C. will go through to the semis on penalties
0
No votes
Bayern Munich will go through to the semis on penalties
1
4%
Bayern Munich will go through to the semis after extra time
3
13%
Bayern Munich will go through to the semis after 90 minutes
9
39%
 
Total votes : 23

Re: [2021-04-13] PSG vs Bayern Munich

Postby FCBayernMunchen » Thu Apr 08, 2021 11:26 am

PunkCapitalist wrote:
MUTU wrote:
FCBayernMunchen wrote:So we are more or less considered as likely to qualify as a PSG win yesterday.

I almost feel like betting for a PSG qualification because the odds seem quite favourable. There's no way we're going to win 0-2 in Paris, and it will be tough to score 3 goals without conceding 3 in return.
They probably set odds with an statistical model based on xG? It's a good idea to bet on PSG. If we win, you'll be happy because we won, if we lose, at least you make some cash hahaha
But if we win 1-0 or 2-1 he will lose money AND it will feel like a loss. :P

They do use statistical models, but I’m not sure what/how. I have a friend who works for a company that sells odds to bookmakers; he used to work for a betting company himself but left because he studied and loves statistics and gets to apply it this way.
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Re: [2021-04-13] PSG vs Bayern Munich

Postby MUTU » Thu Apr 08, 2021 11:31 am

No I don't, I'm talking about qualification odds.
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Re: [2021-04-13] PSG vs Bayern Munich

Postby FCBayernMunchen » Thu Apr 08, 2021 11:32 am

You’re right, my bad.
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Re: [2021-04-13] PSG vs Bayern Munich

Postby MUTU » Thu Apr 08, 2021 12:16 pm

Suele definitely out, Goretzka a major doubt.
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Re: [2021-04-13] PSG vs Bayern Munich

Postby zozon » Thu Apr 08, 2021 12:34 pm

Who even bets against his favorite team?
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Re: [2021-04-13] PSG vs Bayern Munich

Postby YlonenXabi » Thu Apr 08, 2021 12:37 pm

Lewandowski, Gnabry, Goretzka, Costa, Tolisso, Süle... anybody else? We're absolutely f*cked


----------------------- Neuer ---------------------
Pavard ------- Boateng -- Lucas --------- Davies
---------------- Kimmich --- Alaba ---------------
Sane ---------------- Müller --------------- Coman
------------------ Choupo Moting -----------------
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Re: [2021-04-13] PSG vs Bayern Munich

Postby MUTU » Thu Apr 08, 2021 12:44 pm

Now is the time we rue sending Chris Richards and Joshua Zirkzee on loan.
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Re: [2021-04-13] PSG vs Bayern Munich

Postby MoFattal » Thu Apr 08, 2021 12:56 pm

Goretzka's absence will really hurt us if it happens. Air balls is one of their weaknesses, and he is one of our best in those situations.
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Re: [2021-04-13] PSG vs Bayern Munich

Postby Aequitas1987 » Thu Apr 08, 2021 1:06 pm

Yes the goal scaring and aerial duels that Goretzka brings is absolutely vital for the comeback.

Still, I am fairly excited about Alaba+Kimmich double pivot and Lucas in CB as its a pretty solid spine. Alaba is quite gifted in quick 1-2 passing with our german core and one can make the case will be just fine in Aerial duels in midfield (not goal scoring cause he is always on the set piece distribution end).
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Re: [2021-04-13] PSG vs Bayern Munich

Postby MUTU » Thu Apr 08, 2021 1:11 pm

Marquinhos will be checked tomorrow and will miss the match against Strasbourg.
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Re: [2021-04-13] PSG vs Bayern Munich

Postby MUTU » Thu Apr 08, 2021 1:12 pm

Aequitas1987 wrote:Yes the goal scaring and aerial duels that Goretzka brings is absolutely vital for the comeback.

Still, I am fairly excited about Alaba+Kimmich double pivot and Lucas in CB as its a pretty solid spine. Alaba is quite gifted in quick 1-2 passing with our german core and one can make the case will be just fine in Aerial duels in midfield (not goal scoring cause he is always on the set piece distribution end).

The best thing about Alaba playing in midfield is that we definitely don't have Alaba playing in defence.
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Re: [2021-04-13] PSG vs Bayern Munich

Postby MUTU » Thu Apr 08, 2021 1:28 pm

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Re: [2021-04-13] PSG vs Bayern Munich

Postby Fénix » Thu Apr 08, 2021 1:36 pm

miera82 wrote:We need kovac at Paris :D

Haha, but we are not Monaco. It's a psychology, too. :D
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Re: [2021-04-13] PSG vs Bayern Munich

Postby MoFattal » Thu Apr 08, 2021 1:36 pm

It's going to be way harder to create as much chances as we did yesterday with Verratti and Paredes back in the lineup. They are having their players return, whereas our squad keeps getting thinner by the day. It isn't looking good for us.
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Re: [2021-04-13] PSG vs Bayern Munich

Postby Achilles » Thu Apr 08, 2021 1:38 pm

YlonenXabi wrote:Lewandowski, Gnabry, Goretzka, Costa, Tolisso, Süle... anybody else? We're absolutely f*cked


----------------------- Neuer ---------------------
Pavard ------- Boateng -- Lucas --------- Davies
-------------------- Martinez ----------------------
------------ Kimmich ------- Alaba ---------------
Sane -------------- Müller --------------- Coman


I think that Martinez can provide as third CB or libero role, staying at the back covering the spaces.
We lose the Raumdeuter like this but we can switch in the second half.

All the above if Goretzka still be unavailable.
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