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2019/20 UEFA Champions League Discussion Thread

Discussions on the UEFA Champions League matches.
 

Re: [2019-12-16] 2019-20 UEFA Champions League Round of 16 D

Postby America USA » Mon Dec 16, 2019 3:49 pm

Normal” Circumstances

That’s the problem. Bayern are in an abnormal condition right now! We have both of our first choice CBs injured and a winger who is either injured or fails to deliver when fit. Add to that a pseudo DM in Kimmich and our defense looks crap.

If we can get a fit Hernandez soon and sign either a proper DM or a nice winger in the Winter then we’ll be in a good position depth wise to handle the BL title race and the threat of Chelsea.
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Re: [2019-12-16] 2019-20 UEFA Champions League Round of 16 D

Postby Machiavellico » Mon Dec 16, 2019 4:46 pm

YlonenXabi wrote:I think we are clear favourites. I just hope they don't make any big signing like Sancho in january


No real team will sell good players in the winter. BVB would highly compromise their season by selling Sancho. I can definitely see Chelsea buying Nathan Ake from Bournemouth, since they have a buyback clause that expires after this winter transfer period, but, other than that, every team will ask for monumental amounts of money for mediocre players.
PL money hype + well known cash reserve because of the transfer ban. That's like a jackpot for inflation.
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Re: [2019-12-16] 2019-20 UEFA Champions League Round of 16 D

Postby Ben Gardner » Mon Dec 16, 2019 5:41 pm

Not a bad draw at all for Dortmund, PSG big favorites and being eliminated by them wouldn't cause any shock ways around Europe. But PSG has yet to prove themselves in CL when it comes to KO stages. But realistically, Dortmund with there defense shouldn't cause any problems for the Parisians.
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Re: [2019-12-16] 2019-20 UEFA Champions League Round of 16 D

Postby FCBayernMunchen » Mon Dec 16, 2019 5:45 pm

YlonenXabi wrote:I think we are clear favourites. I just hope they don't make any big signing like Sancho in january


Don’t they have a transfer ban? Or was that reversed?
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Re: [2019-12-16] 2019-20 UEFA Champions League Round of 16 D

Postby FCBayernMunchen » Mon Dec 16, 2019 5:49 pm

America USA wrote:I would’ve liked Lyon, can’t remember the last time we faced a French team in the knockouts?


Lyon themselves in the semi final in 2010 and Marseille in 2012.
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Re: [2019-12-16] 2019-20 UEFA Champions League Round of 16 D

Postby Achilles » Mon Dec 16, 2019 5:58 pm

Very nice test, tough opponent, unpredictable form, their morale goes up and down during the same quarter, lighting fast offense(our weakness) super bad defense, inexperienced but hungry, tough away game. If we can't have a dominant qualification against this inexperienced Chelsea then we shouldn't be there anyway...

Bayern are the clear favorites however Chelsea has the necessary weapons to hurt us for good with their kids upfront it's like having 3-4 Comans to guard and we know that we have a vulnerable back line. On the other hand Lampard is playing an attractive-offensive football so we'll have our chances to murder them instead of trying to break a wall of players like the past versions of Chelsea squads but you never know he might change his tactics due to this game because everybody knows how terrible we're defending counter-attacks.
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Re: [2019-12-16] 2019-20 UEFA Champions League Round of 16 D

Postby MUTU » Mon Dec 16, 2019 7:01 pm

FCBayernMunchen wrote:
YlonenXabi wrote:I think we are clear favourites. I just hope they don't make any big signing like Sancho in january


Don’t they have a transfer ban? Or was that reversed?

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Re: [2019-12-16] 2019-20 UEFA Champions League Round of 16 D

Postby DRvad14 » Tue Dec 17, 2019 4:43 pm

Can't see tweet? Click here!

fivethirtyeight's cl predictions

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Re: 2019/20 UEFA Champions League Discussion Thread

Postby DRvad14 » Tue Dec 24, 2019 5:06 pm

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Re: 2019/20 UEFA Champions League Discussion Thread

Postby ramsej84 » Tue Dec 24, 2019 6:00 pm

Nice,very interesting...

I am am surprised to see juve above milan tbh
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Re: 2019/20 UEFA Champions League Discussion Thread

Postby #12 » Tue Dec 24, 2019 9:19 pm

ramsej84 wrote:
Nice,very interesting...

I am am surprised to see juve above milan tbh


As often, your tainted by mere superficialities

Look at how often they took part... The more games, the higher your possibility of winning single games...
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Re: 2019/20 UEFA Champions League Discussion Thread

Postby ramsej84 » Tue Dec 24, 2019 9:23 pm

#12 wrote:
ramsej84 wrote:
Nice,very interesting...

I am am surprised to see juve above milan tbh


As often, your tainted by mere superficialities

Look at how often they took part... The more games, the higher your possibility of winning single games...
Saw that, don't worry.
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Re: 2019/20 UEFA Champions League Discussion Thread

Postby #12 » Tue Dec 24, 2019 10:02 pm

You're - man this almost never happens... Should go easy on the beer

Cheers and MC!!
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Re: 2019/20 UEFA Champions League Discussion Thread

Postby aterford » Mon Jan 27, 2020 6:27 pm

Not sure how they arrived at the conclusions at the top here, but here are the updated UCL odds from 538, just yesterday evening.

Make Quarterfinal
-Barcelona 79% / Napoli 21%
-Liverpool 77% / Atletico 23%
-Bayern 76% / Chelsea 24%
-Atalanta 72% / Valencia 28%
-Juventus 72% / Lyon 28%
-PSG 71% / BVB 29%
-Man City 64% / R. Madrid 36%
-Leipzig 64% / Spurs 36%

Make Semifinal
-Bayern 54%
-Liverpool 53%
-Man City 45%
-PSG 41%
-Barcelona 40%
-Leipzig 28%
-Juventus 28%
Atalanta 26%
-R. Madrid 21%
-BVB 12%
-Spurs 12%
-Chelsea 12%
-A. Madrid 10%
-Napoli 6%
-Lyon 6%
-Valencia 6%

Make Final
-Bayern 35%
-Liverpool 34%
-Man City 29%
-PSG 21%
-Barcelona 19%
-R. Madrid 11%
-Leipzig 11%
-Juventus 10%
-Atalanta 9%
-Chelsea 5%
-BVB 5%
-A. Madrid 4%
-Spurs 4%
-Napoli 2%
-Lyon 1%
-Valencia 1%

Win Final
-Bayern 21%
-Liverpool 20%
-Man City 17%
-PSG 10%
-Barcelona 8%
-R. Madrid 6%
-Leipzig 4%
-Juventus 3%
-Atalanta 3%
-Chelsea 2%
-A. Madrid 2%
-BVB 2%
-Spurs 1%
-Napoli, Lyon, Valencia <1%
Operation ten Hag 2k20: Commence!
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