FC Bayern München Blog

Mia San Mia (We Are Who We Are)

How Does Our Bundesliga Season Compare Statistically with Past Seasons?

Introduction

Now that our Bundesliga season is over, it is time for careful reflection on it and what it means for Bayern. I’ve chosen to focus this analysis almost solely on expected goals data. You have probably heard of Expected goals(xG) by now, but if you haven’t, it is simply a method to estimate the number of goals you should score based on the number and quality of the shots you take. There are a number of limitations to this statistic, but, because it is much less dependent on luck than goals, it remains one of the best ways to compare teams with teams and seasons with seasons.  I’ve decided to use it here because I think a combination of luck and bad finishing have served to obscure some interesting trends over this season and over the last few seasons. Thus, I’ve pulled expected goals statistics for the last few seasons from Understat, which has expected goals data for every Bundesliga season since the beginning of 2014/15.

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Why did Germany Fail at the World Cup?

Note: This article is almost 6000 words long as I tried to be as thorough as possible. If you don’t want to read it all, the sections which should most interest the casual reader are 1c (striker issues), 2 (counterpressing), and 6 (recommendations).   

German girl crying

I do not believe there is anyone reading this, maybe not anyone in the entire world, who would argue that the German National Team did not underperform this World Cup.  Failing to get out of the group stage for the first time in history is, to put it simply, a catastrophe, and it is a catastrophe we must engage in in order to draw lessons for the future. Continue reading

From Gold to Old: Xabi Alonso feels full force of FC Bayern’s emotional rollercoaster

Shortly after FC Bayern announced Toni Kroos’ departure to continental rivals Real Madrid last summer, it emerged that Xabi Alonso was to move in the opposite direction. The first impressions of Xabi Alonso were astounding. The midfield maestro himself must have been surprised about how rapidly and seamlessly he integrated into the team, breaking a few records along the way. For a moment, FC Bayern fans forgot Toni Kroos. For a moment, Xabi Alonso looked worth his weight in gold.

That is all in the past now. Fast forward to today and the Internet is awash with articles and social media comments about how Xabi Alonso is looking old and that he’s past it. So how does one exactly go from gold to old in the space of a few months?

He doesn’t. Continue reading

Six Months Later…

Pep Guardiola, the illustrious Bayern Munich coach, has been in the job six months now, having taken over from the hugely successful Jupp Heynckes in June. While he was welcomed by many, and regarded as the ideal coach for the club, some fans seemed to have a combination of nostalgia for the Heynckes-era and doubts about any changes Guardiola might introduce. So the end of the first half of the season seems like a good time to examine how well has he done in those first six months, and what expectations fans can have for 2014. Continue reading