You seem to forget that BAYERN is preset to win , not to be a lab for experiments and 100 chances then evaluate the results !!!
I agree. I dont need stats to decide if a player is good or not, only a couple games. It was Avatar who came with the unrealistic data.
Just because there were 15 games, doesn't make them unrealistic.
There are many methods In statistical analysis where you need less data to be processed, for example sampling method. But depending on the sample there is a risk to come to a wrong result / deviation.
Just because a certain software (Holdem manager) uses a specific method, that does not mean it's the only one.
"You can live to be a hundred if you give up all the things that make you want to live to be a hundred."